← Matchups

Central Connecticut

· 0-2 · power -9.6 · #292
Our numberCCSU -4.8 no book has priced this game

Stonehill

· 1-2 (1-0) · power -17.0 · #360
Our side
MoneylineCCSU to win ours 38%
Projected score 30–25 CCSU – STO
2026-11-07 · 1:00 PM W.B. Mason Stadium · North Easton, MA Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Central Connecticut lead 3–1 · 4 meetings since 2022
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 34 ranks apart
Central Connecticut Blue Devils #227 rush offense Stonehill Skyhawks #193 run defense
Pass game edge Stonehill Skyhawks 86 ranks
Central Connecticut Blue Devils #107 pass offense Stonehill Skyhawks #21 pass defense
Run game even 41 ranks apart
Stonehill Skyhawks #249 rush offense Central Connecticut Blue Devils #208 run defense
Pass game edge Central Connecticut Blue Devils 137 ranks
Stonehill Skyhawks #202 pass offense Central Connecticut Blue Devils #65 pass defense
Central Connecticut Blue Devils Balanced · 49% run Avg pace Stonehill Skyhawks Run-heavy · 59% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
DB Mel Jacobs 2 tkl · 1 INT #174 DB
DB Eric Jackson 10 tkl · 1 PD #426 DB
DB Deonte Douglas 13 tkl #490 DB
WR Michael Trovarelli 5 rec · 45 yds · 1 TD #379 WR
Stonehill Skyhawks
TE Cole Clarke 11 rec · 169 yds · 1 TD #26 TE
DL Christopher Gill 12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #261 DL
LB Caden Henritzy 21 tkl · 1.0 TFL #163 LB
DB Mo Seide 13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #267 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Central Connecticut Blue Devils -9.6 -0.2 -9.4 #292
Stonehill Skyhawks -17.0 -14.7 -2.2 #360

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Central Connecticut offense vs Stonehill defense+2.0 pts
Stonehill offense vs Central Connecticut defense-5.3 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.