← Matchups

American International

· power -11.6 · #315

Our numberCCSU -4.9 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Central Connecticut

· 0-2 · power -9.6 · #292

Our side

MoneylineCCSU to win ours 62%

Projected score 27–32 AMER – CCSU

2026-10-10 · kickoff TBD Arute Field · New Britain, CT Preseason estimate

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Central Connecticut lead 2–0 · 2 meetings since 2023

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Central Connecticut Blue Devils Balanced · 49% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

American International Yellow Jackets

No graded players for this team in 2025.

Central Connecticut Blue Devils

DB Mel Jacobs 2 tkl · 1 INT #174 DB

DB Eric Jackson 10 tkl · 1 PD #426 DB

DB Deonte Douglas 13 tkl #490 DB

WR Michael Trovarelli 5 rec · 45 yds · 1 TD #379 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
American International Yellow Jackets	-11.6	-8.2	-3.4	#315
Central Connecticut Blue Devils	-9.6	-0.2	-9.4	#292

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

American International offense vs Central Connecticut defense+1.2 pts

Central Connecticut offense vs American International defense+3.2 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.