Our side
MoneylineFIU to win
ours 95%
Projected score
10–40
LIU – FIU
2026-09-26 · 6:00 PM
Pitbull Stadium · Miami, FL
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Florida International lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 2021
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
30 ranks apart
Long Island University Sharks #169 rush offense
Florida International Panthers #139 run defense
Pass game
edge Florida International Panthers
70 ranks
Long Island University Sharks #241 pass offense
Florida International Panthers #171 pass defense
Run game
even
3 ranks apart
Florida International Panthers #69 rush offense
Long Island University Sharks #72 run defense
Pass game
edge Long Island University Sharks
145 ranks
Florida International Panthers #162 pass offense
Long Island University Sharks #17 pass defense
Long Island University Sharks
Run-heavy · 69% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 59 rush ypg
Florida International Panthers
Balanced · 56% run
Ball-control
Willie Simmons · 7-6
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Long Island University Sharks
LB
Rafael Fasolino
25 tkl · 3.0 TFL
#23 LB
DB
Ryan Maxwell
21 tkl · 2 PD
#57 DB
DL
Rodney Mills
5 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#145 DL
DL
Quay Wright
3 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#343 DL
Florida International Panthers
DL
Elisha Baldridge
11 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#26 DL
WR
Maguire Anderson
13 rec · 186 yds · 2 TD
#34 WR
DL
DeeJay Holmes Jr.
7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#81 DL
WR
Jojo Stone
9 rec · 141 yds · 1 TD
#146 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Long Island University offense vs Florida International defense-16.0 pts
Florida International offense vs Long Island University defense+4.1 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,111 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.