← Matchups

Long Island University

· 0-3 · power -14.8 · #343
Our numberDUQ -4.7 no book has priced this game

Duquesne

· 0-2 · power -13.0 · #329
Our side
MoneylineDUQ to win ours 61%
Projected score 24–29 LIU – DUQ
2026-10-10 · 1:00 PM Arthur J. Rooney Athletic Field · Pittsburgh, PA Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Duquesne lead 5–2 · 7 meetings since 2019
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 11 ranks apart
Long Island University Sharks #169 rush offense Duquesne Dukes #158 run defense
Pass game edge Duquesne Dukes 152 ranks
Long Island University Sharks #241 pass offense Duquesne Dukes #89 pass defense
Run game even 18 ranks apart
Duquesne Dukes #90 rush offense Long Island University Sharks #72 run defense
Pass game edge Long Island University Sharks 104 ranks
Duquesne Dukes #121 pass offense Long Island University Sharks #17 pass defense
Long Island University Sharks Run-heavy · 69% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 59 rush ypg Duquesne Dukes Run-heavy · 60% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Long Island University Sharks
LB Rafael Fasolino 25 tkl · 3.0 TFL #23 LB
DB Ryan Maxwell 21 tkl · 2 PD #57 DB
DL Rodney Mills 5 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #145 DL
DL Quay Wright 3 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #343 DL
Duquesne Dukes
DL Nico Pate 10 tkl #337 DL
DB Caleb Jones 12 tkl · 1 PD #379 DB
LB Luke Miller 15 tkl #349 LB
LB Zach Chambers 14 tkl #405 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Long Island University Sharks -14.8 -10.5 -4.3 #343
Duquesne Dukes -13.0 -6.2 -6.8 #329

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Long Island University offense vs Duquesne defense-3.7 pts
Duquesne offense vs Long Island University defense-1.9 pts
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.