Our side
MoneylineLIU to win
ours 51%
Projected score
23–24
STO – LIU
2026-10-24 · kickoff TBD
Shark Stadium · Brookville, NY
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Stonehill and Long Island University split 4 (2–2)
· 4 meetings since 2022
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Long Island University Sharks
177 ranks
Stonehill Skyhawks #249 rush offense
Long Island University Sharks #72 run defense
Pass game
edge Long Island University Sharks
185 ranks
Stonehill Skyhawks #202 pass offense
Long Island University Sharks #17 pass defense
Run game
even
24 ranks apart
Long Island University Sharks #169 rush offense
Stonehill Skyhawks #193 run defense
Pass game
edge Stonehill Skyhawks
220 ranks
Long Island University Sharks #241 pass offense
Stonehill Skyhawks #21 pass defense
Stonehill Skyhawks
Run-heavy · 59% run
Ball-control
Long Island University Sharks
Run-heavy · 69% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 59 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Stonehill Skyhawks
TE
Cole Clarke
11 rec · 169 yds · 1 TD
#26 TE
DL
Christopher Gill
12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#261 DL
LB
Caden Henritzy
21 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#163 LB
DB
Mo Seide
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#267 DB
Long Island University Sharks
LB
Rafael Fasolino
25 tkl · 3.0 TFL
#23 LB
DB
Ryan Maxwell
21 tkl · 2 PD
#57 DB
DL
Rodney Mills
5 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#145 DL
DL
Quay Wright
3 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#343 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Stonehill offense vs Long Island University defense-10.5 pts
Long Island University offense vs Stonehill defense-8.3 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-4.3 pts
Power projection before adjustment+4.9
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).