Our side
MoneylineLIU to win
ours 44%
Projected score
28–26
LIU – NHVN
2026-11-07 · 12:00 PM
Ralph F. DellaCamera Stadium · West Haven, CT
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Long Island University lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 2025
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge New Haven Chargers
85 ranks
Long Island University Sharks #169 rush offense
New Haven Chargers #84 run defense
Pass game
edge New Haven Chargers
150 ranks
Long Island University Sharks #241 pass offense
New Haven Chargers #91 pass defense
Run game
edge Long Island University Sharks
91 ranks
New Haven Chargers #163 rush offense
Long Island University Sharks #72 run defense
Pass game
edge Long Island University Sharks
83 ranks
New Haven Chargers #100 pass offense
Long Island University Sharks #17 pass defense
Long Island University Sharks
Run-heavy · 69% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 59 rush ypg
New Haven Chargers
Balanced · 51% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Long Island University Sharks
LB
Rafael Fasolino
25 tkl · 3.0 TFL
#23 LB
DB
Ryan Maxwell
21 tkl · 2 PD
#57 DB
DL
Rodney Mills
5 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#145 DL
DL
Quay Wright
3 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#343 DL
New Haven Chargers
DB
Myles Hansford
14 tkl · 2 PD
#196 DB
DL
Tyler Hammel
10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#273 DL
DB
Mason Taylor
20 tkl
#294 DB
P
Joe Fragale
14 punts · 41.5 yd avg
#33 P
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Long Island University offense vs New Haven defense+0.6 pts
New Haven offense vs Long Island University defense-5.5 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+0.9 pts
Power projection before adjustment-3.5
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.