Our side
MoneylineRMU to win
ours 74%
Projected score
18–29
LIU – RMU
2026-11-21 · 12:00 PM
Joe Walton Stadium · Moon Township, PA
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Robert Morris lead
2–1
· 3 meetings since 2019
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
8 ranks apart
Long Island University Sharks #169 rush offense
Robert Morris Colonials #161 run defense
Pass game
edge Robert Morris Colonials
147 ranks
Long Island University Sharks #241 pass offense
Robert Morris Colonials #94 pass defense
Run game
edge Long Island University Sharks
188 ranks
Robert Morris Colonials #260 rush offense
Long Island University Sharks #72 run defense
Pass game
edge Long Island University Sharks
203 ranks
Robert Morris Colonials #220 pass offense
Long Island University Sharks #17 pass defense
Long Island University Sharks
Run-heavy · 69% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 59 rush ypg
Robert Morris Colonials
Run-heavy · 60% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Long Island University Sharks
LB
Rafael Fasolino
25 tkl · 3.0 TFL
#23 LB
DB
Ryan Maxwell
21 tkl · 2 PD
#57 DB
DL
Rodney Mills
5 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#145 DL
DL
Quay Wright
3 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#343 DL
Robert Morris Colonials
WR
Galen Combs
15 rec · 307 yds · 5 TD
#10 WR
DL
Asher Wilson
14 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL
#30 DL
LB
Amanuel Dickson
23 tkl · 3.5 TFL
#40 LB
DL
David Johnson
5 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#362 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Long Island University offense vs Robert Morris defense-11.5 pts
Robert Morris offense vs Long Island University defense-5.7 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+1.7 pts
Power projection before adjustment+8.9
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).