Our side
MoneylineRMU to win
ours 44%
Projected score
25–23
RMU – MORG
2026-10-10 · 12:00 PM
Hughes Stadium (MD) · Baltimore, MD
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Morgan State and Robert Morris split 2 (1–1)
· 2 meetings since 2011
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Morgan State Bears
147 ranks
Robert Morris Colonials #260 rush offense
Morgan State Bears #113 run defense
Pass game
edge Morgan State Bears
90 ranks
Robert Morris Colonials #220 pass offense
Morgan State Bears #130 pass defense
Run game
even
3 ranks apart
Morgan State Bears #164 rush offense
Robert Morris Colonials #161 run defense
Pass game
edge Robert Morris Colonials
132 ranks
Morgan State Bears #226 pass offense
Robert Morris Colonials #94 pass defense
Robert Morris Colonials
Run-heavy · 60% run
Ball-control
Morgan State Bears
Run-heavy · 62% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 46 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Robert Morris Colonials
WR
Galen Combs
15 rec · 307 yds · 5 TD
#10 WR
DL
Asher Wilson
14 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL
#30 DL
LB
Amanuel Dickson
23 tkl · 3.5 TFL
#40 LB
DL
David Johnson
5 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#362 DL
Morgan State Bears
DL
Donovan Moyer
11 tkl · 4.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#70 DL
DB
Josiah Blake
11 tkl · 1 PD
#145 DB
WR
Justin Perry
13 rec · 188 yds · 2 TD
#231 WR
RB
Jordan Barnett
173 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec
#165 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Robert Morris offense vs Morgan State defense-5.3 pts
Morgan State offense vs Robert Morris defense-11.3 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+1.0 pts
Power projection before adjustment-3.2
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).