← Matchups

Stonehill

· 1-2 (1-0) · power -17.0 · #360
Our numberSTO -1.3 no book has priced this game

New Haven

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -20.9 · #380
Final STO 21 · NHVN 3 ML L our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineNHVN to win logged live now: STO to win — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 47%

Our number: NHVN by 12.0 — NHVN to win.

Projected score 26–24 STO – NHVN
2026-09-05 · 12:00 PM Ralph F. DellaCamera Stadium · West Haven, CT Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series New Haven lead 1–0 · 1 meeting since 2021
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge New Haven Chargers 165 ranks
Stonehill Skyhawks #249 rush offense New Haven Chargers #84 run defense
Pass game edge New Haven Chargers 111 ranks
Stonehill Skyhawks #202 pass offense New Haven Chargers #91 pass defense
Run game even 30 ranks apart
New Haven Chargers #163 rush offense Stonehill Skyhawks #193 run defense
Pass game edge Stonehill Skyhawks 79 ranks
New Haven Chargers #100 pass offense Stonehill Skyhawks #21 pass defense
Stonehill Skyhawks Run-heavy · 59% run Ball-control New Haven Chargers Balanced · 51% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Stonehill Skyhawks
TE Cole Clarke 11 rec · 169 yds · 1 TD #26 TE
DL Christopher Gill 12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #261 DL
LB Caden Henritzy 21 tkl · 1.0 TFL #163 LB
DB Mo Seide 13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #267 DB
New Haven Chargers
DB Myles Hansford 14 tkl · 2 PD #196 DB
DL Tyler Hammel 10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #273 DL
DB Mason Taylor 20 tkl #294 DB
P Joe Fragale 14 punts · 41.5 yd avg #33 P

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Stonehill Skyhawks -17.0 -14.7 -2.2 #360
New Haven Chargers -20.9 -9.8 -11.1 #380

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Stonehill offense vs New Haven defense-3.6 pts
New Haven offense vs Stonehill defense-7.6 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.