← Matchups

Duquesne

· 0-2 · power -13.0 · #329
Our numberDUQ -1.2 no book has priced this game

Stonehill

· 1-2 (1-0) · power -17.0 · #360
Our side
MoneylineDUQ to win ours 47%
Projected score 26–24 DUQ – STO
2026-10-17 · 1:00 PM W.B. Mason Stadium · North Easton, MA Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Stonehill and Duquesne split 4 (2–2) · 4 meetings since 2022
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Duquesne Dukes 103 ranks
Duquesne Dukes #90 rush offense Stonehill Skyhawks #193 run defense
Pass game edge Stonehill Skyhawks 100 ranks
Duquesne Dukes #121 pass offense Stonehill Skyhawks #21 pass defense
Run game edge Duquesne Dukes 91 ranks
Stonehill Skyhawks #249 rush offense Duquesne Dukes #158 run defense
Pass game edge Duquesne Dukes 113 ranks
Stonehill Skyhawks #202 pass offense Duquesne Dukes #89 pass defense
Duquesne Dukes Run-heavy · 60% run Ball-control Stonehill Skyhawks Run-heavy · 59% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Duquesne Dukes
DL Nico Pate 10 tkl #337 DL
DB Caleb Jones 12 tkl · 1 PD #379 DB
LB Luke Miller 15 tkl #349 LB
LB Zach Chambers 14 tkl #405 LB
Stonehill Skyhawks
TE Cole Clarke 11 rec · 169 yds · 1 TD #26 TE
DL Christopher Gill 12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #261 DL
LB Caden Henritzy 21 tkl · 1.0 TFL #163 LB
DB Mo Seide 13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #267 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Duquesne Dukes -13.0 -6.2 -6.8 #329
Stonehill Skyhawks -17.0 -14.7 -2.2 #360

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Duquesne offense vs Stonehill defense-4.0 pts
Stonehill offense vs Duquesne defense-7.9 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 475 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.