← Matchups

Southern Connecticut State

· 0-1 · power -22.2 · #385

Our numberWAG -7.5 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Wagner

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -17.7 · #364

Final SOUT 7 · WAG 31 ML L our logged sides, graded on the record

Our side

MoneylineSOUT to win logged live now: WAG to win — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 66%

Our number: SOUT by 0.6 — SOUT to win.

Projected score 24–32 SOUT – WAG

2026-09-05 · 12:00 PM Hameline Field at Wagner College Stadium · Staten Island, NY Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Wagner Seahawks Run-heavy · 71% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Southern Connecticut State Owls

DL Jordan Eli 12 tkl · 1.0 TFL #284 DL

DL RJ Faessler 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #378 DL

DL Alex Perez 8 tkl · 1.5 TFL #497 DL

DL Tyler Coard 9 tkl · 1.0 TFL #498 DL

Wagner Seahawks

DB Julio Tatis 7 tkl · 1 INT #163 DB

DL Jordan Gaston 8 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #435 DL

WR Zion Fowler-El 16 rec · 143 yds #291 WR

DB Shamar Williams 10 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #503 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Southern Connecticut State Owls	-22.2	-8.7	-13.6	#385
Wagner Seahawks	-17.7	-10.9	-6.8	#364

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Southern Connecticut State offense vs Wagner defense-1.9 pts

Wagner offense vs Southern Connecticut State defense+2.6 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.