← Matchups

Princeton

· power -9.8 · #293

Our numberPRIN -5.3 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Wagner

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -17.7 · #364

Our side

MoneylinePRIN to win ours 37%

Projected score 27–22 PRIN – WAG

2026-10-10 · kickoff TBD Hameline Field at Wagner College Stadium · Staten Island, NY Preseason estimate

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Run game edge Wagner Seahawks ~~95 ranks~~

Princeton Tigers #159 rush offense Wagner Seahawks #64 run defense

Pass game even ~~33 ranks apart~~

Princeton Tigers #198 pass offense Wagner Seahawks #165 pass defense

Run game edge Princeton Tigers ~~68 ranks~~

Wagner Seahawks #237 rush offense Princeton Tigers #169 run defense

Pass game edge Princeton Tigers ~~107 ranks~~

Wagner Seahawks #264 pass offense Princeton Tigers #157 pass defense

Princeton Tigers Balanced · 53% run Avg pace Wagner Seahawks Run-heavy · 71% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Princeton Tigers

No graded players for this team in 2025.

Wagner Seahawks

DB Julio Tatis 7 tkl · 1 INT #163 DB

DL Jordan Gaston 8 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #435 DL

WR Zion Fowler-El 16 rec · 143 yds #291 WR

DB Shamar Williams 10 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #503 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Princeton Tigers	-9.8	-9.6	-0.2	#293
Wagner Seahawks	-17.7	-10.9	-6.8	#364

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Princeton offense vs Wagner defense-2.8 pts

Wagner offense vs Princeton defense-10.7 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.