← Matchups

Wagner

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -17.7 · #364

Our numberDUQ -7.7 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Duquesne

· 0-2 · power -13.0 · #329

Our side

MoneylineDUQ to win ours 68%

Projected score 23–31 WAG – DUQ

2026-10-24 · 12:00 PM Arthur J. Rooney Athletic Field · Pittsburgh, PA Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Duquesne lead 14–4 · 18 meetings since 2008

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Run game edge Duquesne Dukes ~~79 ranks~~

Wagner Seahawks #237 rush offense Duquesne Dukes #158 run defense

Pass game edge Duquesne Dukes ~~175 ranks~~

Wagner Seahawks #264 pass offense Duquesne Dukes #89 pass defense

Run game even ~~26 ranks apart~~

Duquesne Dukes #90 rush offense Wagner Seahawks #64 run defense

Pass game even ~~44 ranks apart~~

Duquesne Dukes #121 pass offense Wagner Seahawks #165 pass defense

Wagner Seahawks Run-heavy · 71% run Avg pace Duquesne Dukes Run-heavy · 60% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Wagner Seahawks

DB Julio Tatis 7 tkl · 1 INT #163 DB

DL Jordan Gaston 8 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #435 DL

WR Zion Fowler-El 16 rec · 143 yds #291 WR

DB Shamar Williams 10 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #503 DB

Duquesne Dukes

DL Nico Pate 10 tkl #337 DL

DB Caleb Jones 12 tkl · 1 PD #379 DB

LB Luke Miller 15 tkl #349 LB

LB Zach Chambers 14 tkl #405 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Wagner Seahawks	-17.7	-10.9	-6.8	#364
Duquesne Dukes	-13.0	-6.2	-6.8	#329

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Wagner offense vs Duquesne defense-4.1 pts

Duquesne offense vs Wagner defense+0.6 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.