Our side
MoneylineWAG to win
ours 64%
Projected score
24–30
NHVN – WAG
2026-11-14 · 12:00 PM
Hameline Field at Wagner College Stadium · Staten Island, NY
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Wagner Seahawks
99 ranks
New Haven Chargers #163 rush offense
Wagner Seahawks #64 run defense
Pass game
edge New Haven Chargers
65 ranks
New Haven Chargers #100 pass offense
Wagner Seahawks #165 pass defense
Run game
edge New Haven Chargers
153 ranks
Wagner Seahawks #237 rush offense
New Haven Chargers #84 run defense
Pass game
edge New Haven Chargers
173 ranks
Wagner Seahawks #264 pass offense
New Haven Chargers #91 pass defense
New Haven Chargers
Balanced · 51% run
Ball-control
Wagner Seahawks
Run-heavy · 71% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
New Haven Chargers
DB
Myles Hansford
14 tkl · 2 PD
#196 DB
DL
Tyler Hammel
10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#273 DL
DB
Mason Taylor
20 tkl
#294 DB
P
Joe Fragale
14 punts · 41.5 yd avg
#33 P
Wagner Seahawks
DB
Julio Tatis
7 tkl · 1 INT
#163 DB
DL
Jordan Gaston
8 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#435 DL
WR
Zion Fowler-El
16 rec · 143 yds
#291 WR
DB
Shamar Williams
10 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#503 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
New Haven offense vs Wagner defense-3.0 pts
Wagner offense vs New Haven defense+0.2 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-0.2 pts
Power projection before adjustment+6.1
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).