← Matchups

Howard

· 1-2 · power -10.8 · #307

Our numberHOW -4.8 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Alabama A&M

· 2-1 · power -15.8 · #354

Final HOW 31 · AAMU 24 ML L our logged sides, graded on the record

Our side

MoneylineAAMU to win logged live now: HOW to win — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 39%

Our number: AAMU by 4.7 — AAMU to win.

Projected score 30–25 HOW – AAMU

2026-08-29 · 7:30 PM Center Parc Stadium · Atlanta, GA · neutral Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Run game even ~~20 ranks apart~~

Howard Bison #150 rush offense Alabama A&M Bulldogs #130 run defense

Pass game even ~~15 ranks apart~~

Howard Bison #246 pass offense Alabama A&M Bulldogs #261 pass defense

Run game edge Howard Bison ~~119 ranks~~

Alabama A&M Bulldogs #219 rush offense Howard Bison #100 run defense

Pass game edge Howard Bison ~~58 ranks~~

Alabama A&M Bulldogs #176 pass offense Howard Bison #118 pass defense

Howard Bison Balanced · 57% run Ball-control Alabama A&M Bulldogs Balanced · 48% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Howard Bison

LB Rodney Roane 16 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #56 LB

DB Ben Chandler IV 11 tkl · 4 PD #164 DB

LB Aidan Foster 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #105 LB

DB Kaleb Gallop 21 tkl #199 DB

Alabama A&M Bulldogs

DB Jeremiah Hudson-Davis 35 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT #10 DB

DL Kylon Roberts 17 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL #54 DL

WR Jarel Williams 16 rec · 279 yds · 2 TD #47 WR

DL Arenza Davis 12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #113 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Howard Bison	-10.8	-8.2	-2.6	#307
Alabama A&M Bulldogs	-15.8	-5.6	-10.2	#354

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Howard offense vs Alabama A&M defense+2.0 pts

Alabama A&M offense vs Howard defense-3.0 pts

Travel · context onlyAway team travels 544 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.