← Matchups

South Carolina State

· 3-0 · power -1.6 · #192
Our numberSCST -11.6 no book has priced this game

Florida A&M

· 1-2 · power -13.1 · #330
Final SCST 31 · FAMU 13 ML W our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineSCST to win logged ours 26%

Our number: SCST by 12.1 — SCST to win.

Projected score 35–24 SCST – FAMU
2026-09-06 · 3:00 PM Hard Rock Stadium · Miami Gardens, FL · neutral Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series South Carolina State lead 13–5 · 18 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 23 ranks apart
South Carolina State Bulldogs #251 rush offense Florida A&M Rattlers #228 run defense
Pass game edge South Carolina State Bulldogs 174 ranks
South Carolina State Bulldogs #68 pass offense Florida A&M Rattlers #242 pass defense
Run game edge South Carolina State Bulldogs 137 ranks
Florida A&M Rattlers #173 rush offense South Carolina State Bulldogs #36 run defense
Pass game edge South Carolina State Bulldogs 69 ranks
Florida A&M Rattlers #142 pass offense South Carolina State Bulldogs #73 pass defense
South Carolina State Bulldogs Balanced · 54% run Avg pace Florida A&M Rattlers Balanced · 56% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
South Carolina State Bulldogs
RB Mason Pickett-Hicks 417 rush yds · 3 TD · 6 rec #11 RB
DL Jordan Dollard 11 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 5.5 TFL #50 DL
DL Ka Von Chisolm 7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 5.5 TFL #101 DL
DL Jayden Fuller 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #120 DL
Florida A&M Rattlers
DB Justin Bostic 10 tkl · 2 INT #44 DB
LB Denzel Johnson 14 tkl #218 LB
P Bobby Engstler 25 punts · 40.0 yd avg #39 P
DB Caleb McKenzie 4 tkl #687 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
South Carolina State Bulldogs -1.6 +3.7 -5.3 #192
Florida A&M Rattlers -13.1 -6.9 -6.2 #330

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
South Carolina State offense vs Florida A&M defense+9.9 pts
Florida A&M offense vs South Carolina State defense-1.6 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 522 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.