← Matchups

Bowie State

· 0-1 · power -14.7 · #342
Our numberDSU -9.2 no book has priced this game

Delaware State

· 2-1 · power -8.5 · #279
Final BOWI 6 · DSU 21 ML W our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineDSU to win logged ours 70%

Our number: DSU by 4.4 — DSU to win.

Projected score 20–29 BOWI – DSU
2026-09-12 · 3:00 PM Alumni Stadium (DE) · Dover, DE Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Delaware State lead 2–1 · 3 meetings since 2021
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Delaware State Hornets Run-heavy · 67% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 47 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Bowie State Bulldogs
DL Ashton Mayeux 11 tkl · 1.0 TFL #283 DL
DL Alijah Bivans 8 tkl · 0.5 TFL #628 DL
DL James Francis 9 tkl #629 DL
DL Chase Francis 4 tkl · 2.0 TFL #771 DL
Delaware State Hornets
DB Kemari Nix 17 tkl · 1 PD #64 DB
DL Quoy Rainey 13 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #173 DL
DL Gensley Auguste 11 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #235 DL
WR Jaylin Terzado 10 rec · 185 yds · 1 TD #158 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Bowie State Bulldogs -14.7 -12.0 -2.6 #342
Delaware State Hornets -8.5 -6.5 -2.0 #279

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Bowie State offense vs Delaware State defense-10.1 pts
Delaware State offense vs Bowie State defense-3.9 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.