Our side
MoneylineDSU to win
ours 67%
Projected score
24–31
NCCU – DSU
2026-10-23 · 5:00 PM
Alumni Stadium (DE) · Dover, DE
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
North Carolina Central lead
12–3
· 15 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Delaware State Hornets
65 ranks
North Carolina Central Eagles #189 rush offense
Delaware State Hornets #124 run defense
Pass game
edge North Carolina Central Eagles
83 ranks
North Carolina Central Eagles #43 pass offense
Delaware State Hornets #126 pass defense
Run game
edge Delaware State Hornets
139 ranks
Delaware State Hornets #6 rush offense
North Carolina Central Eagles #145 run defense
Pass game
edge North Carolina Central Eagles
64 ranks
Delaware State Hornets #167 pass offense
North Carolina Central Eagles #103 pass defense
North Carolina Central Eagles
Balanced · 53% run
Ball-control
Delaware State Hornets
Run-heavy · 67% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 47 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
North Carolina Central Eagles
DL
Zarion Walters
17 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 6.0 TFL
#12 DL
DB
Joshua Truesdale
19 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
#88 DB
RB
Plez Lawrence
264 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec
#92 RB
DB
Jakarri Martin II
9 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
#231 DB
Delaware State Hornets
DB
Kemari Nix
17 tkl · 1 PD
#64 DB
DL
Quoy Rainey
13 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#173 DL
DL
Gensley Auguste
11 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#235 DL
WR
Jaylin Terzado
10 rec · 185 yds · 1 TD
#158 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
North Carolina Central offense vs Delaware State defense-3.0 pts
Delaware State offense vs North Carolina Central defense+0.4 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+0.6 pts
Power projection before adjustment+6.3
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).