Our side
MoneylineDSU to win
ours 73%
Projected score
20–30
MORG – DSU
2026-11-07 · 1:00 PM
Alumni Stadium (DE) · Dover, DE
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Morgan State lead
15–7
· 22 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
40 ranks apart
Morgan State Bears #164 rush offense
Delaware State Hornets #124 run defense
Pass game
edge Delaware State Hornets
100 ranks
Morgan State Bears #226 pass offense
Delaware State Hornets #126 pass defense
Run game
edge Delaware State Hornets
107 ranks
Delaware State Hornets #6 rush offense
Morgan State Bears #113 run defense
Pass game
even
37 ranks apart
Delaware State Hornets #167 pass offense
Morgan State Bears #130 pass defense
Morgan State Bears
Run-heavy · 62% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 46 rush ypg
Delaware State Hornets
Run-heavy · 67% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 47 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Morgan State Bears
DL
Donovan Moyer
11 tkl · 4.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#70 DL
DB
Josiah Blake
11 tkl · 1 PD
#145 DB
WR
Justin Perry
13 rec · 188 yds · 2 TD
#231 WR
RB
Jordan Barnett
173 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec
#165 RB
Delaware State Hornets
DB
Kemari Nix
17 tkl · 1 PD
#64 DB
DL
Quoy Rainey
13 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#173 DL
DL
Gensley Auguste
11 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#235 DL
WR
Jaylin Terzado
10 rec · 185 yds · 1 TD
#158 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Morgan State offense vs Delaware State defense-8.4 pts
Delaware State offense vs Morgan State defense-1.9 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+0.3 pts
Power projection before adjustment+9.5
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).