Our side
MoneylineSCST to win
ours 80%
Projected score
22–36
DSU – SCST
2026-11-21 · 1:30 PM
Oliver C. Dawson Stadium · Orangeburg, SC
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
South Carolina State lead
17–4
· 21 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
30 ranks apart
Delaware State Hornets #6 rush offense
South Carolina State Bulldogs #36 run defense
Pass game
edge South Carolina State Bulldogs
94 ranks
Delaware State Hornets #167 pass offense
South Carolina State Bulldogs #73 pass defense
Run game
edge Delaware State Hornets
127 ranks
South Carolina State Bulldogs #251 rush offense
Delaware State Hornets #124 run defense
Pass game
edge South Carolina State Bulldogs
58 ranks
South Carolina State Bulldogs #68 pass offense
Delaware State Hornets #126 pass defense
Delaware State Hornets
Run-heavy · 67% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 47 rush ypg
South Carolina State Bulldogs
Balanced · 54% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Delaware State Hornets
DB
Kemari Nix
17 tkl · 1 PD
#64 DB
DL
Quoy Rainey
13 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#173 DL
DL
Gensley Auguste
11 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#235 DL
WR
Jaylin Terzado
10 rec · 185 yds · 1 TD
#158 WR
South Carolina State Bulldogs
RB
Mason Pickett-Hicks
417 rush yds · 3 TD · 6 rec
#11 RB
DL
Jordan Dollard
11 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 5.5 TFL
#50 DL
DL
Ka Von Chisolm
7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 5.5 TFL
#101 DL
DL
Jayden Fuller
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#120 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Delaware State offense vs South Carolina State defense-1.2 pts
South Carolina State offense vs Delaware State defense+5.7 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+3.3 pts
Power projection before adjustment+10.1
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 491 mi
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.