Our side
MoneylineSCST to win
ours 19%
Projected score
36–22
SCST – HOW
2026-11-05 · 5:00 PM
Greene Stadium · Washington, DC
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
South Carolina State lead
18–2
· 20 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Howard Bison
151 ranks
South Carolina State Bulldogs #251 rush offense
Howard Bison #100 run defense
Pass game
edge South Carolina State Bulldogs
50 ranks
South Carolina State Bulldogs #68 pass offense
Howard Bison #118 pass defense
Run game
edge South Carolina State Bulldogs
114 ranks
Howard Bison #150 rush offense
South Carolina State Bulldogs #36 run defense
Pass game
edge South Carolina State Bulldogs
173 ranks
Howard Bison #246 pass offense
South Carolina State Bulldogs #73 pass defense
South Carolina State Bulldogs
Balanced · 54% run
Avg pace
Howard Bison
Balanced · 57% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
South Carolina State Bulldogs
RB
Mason Pickett-Hicks
417 rush yds · 3 TD · 6 rec
#11 RB
DL
Jordan Dollard
11 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 5.5 TFL
#50 DL
DL
Ka Von Chisolm
7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 5.5 TFL
#101 DL
DL
Jayden Fuller
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#120 DL
Howard Bison
LB
Rodney Roane
16 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#56 LB
DB
Ben Chandler IV
11 tkl · 4 PD
#164 DB
LB
Aidan Foster
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#105 LB
DB
Kaleb Gallop
21 tkl
#199 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
South Carolina State offense vs Howard defense+6.3 pts
Howard offense vs South Carolina State defense-2.9 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-7.4 pts
Power projection before adjustment-7.0
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 431 mi
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.