Our side
MoneylineNORF to win
ours 63%
Projected score
24–30
HOW – NORF
2026-11-21 · 12:00 PM
William "Dick" Price Stadium · Norfolk, VA
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Howard and Norfolk State split 20 (10–10)
· 20 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
14 ranks apart
Howard Bison #150 rush offense
Norfolk State Spartans #136 run defense
Pass game
edge Norfolk State Spartans
61 ranks
Howard Bison #246 pass offense
Norfolk State Spartans #185 pass defense
Run game
even
5 ranks apart
Norfolk State Spartans #95 rush offense
Howard Bison #100 run defense
Pass game
edge Howard Bison
46 ranks
Norfolk State Spartans #164 pass offense
Howard Bison #118 pass defense
Howard Bison
Balanced · 57% run
Ball-control
Norfolk State Spartans
Balanced · 48% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Howard Bison
LB
Rodney Roane
16 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#56 LB
DB
Ben Chandler IV
11 tkl · 4 PD
#164 DB
LB
Aidan Foster
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#105 LB
DB
Kaleb Gallop
21 tkl
#199 DB
Norfolk State Spartans
DB
Josiah Davis
6 tkl · 2 INT
#61 DB
DB
Jordan Saunders
20 tkl · 1 INT
#121 DB
LB
Brendan Thompson
23 tkl · 2.0 TFL
#141 LB
DL
Eugene Allen IV
7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#330 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Howard offense vs Norfolk State defense-2.1 pts
Norfolk State offense vs Howard defense-0.7 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+1.3 pts
Power projection before adjustment+4.2
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).