BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

← Matchups

Norfolk State

· 1-2 · power -9.5 · #291
Our numberODU -29.2 no book has priced this game

Old Dominion

SBC · 1-1 · power +9.3 · #90
Final NORF 10 · ODU 31 ML W Spread W Total L our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineODU to win logged ours 95%

Our number: ODU by 37.9 — ODU to win.

Projected score 12–42 NORF – ODU
2026-09-05 · 6:00 PM S.B. Ballard Stadium · Norfolk, VA Early season

The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book NORF spreadODU spread OverUnder NORF winODU win NORF TT overNORF TT under ODU TT overODU TT under
DraftKings — — — — — —
FanDuel — — — — — —
BetMGM — — — — — —
ESPN Bet — — — — — —
Caesars — — — — — —

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Network captured 8 days ago spread NORF 99% bets · 98% money total Under 54% bets · 8% money · money Over
Series Old Dominion lead 4–0 · 4 meetings since 2011
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Old Dominion Monarchs 70 ranks
Norfolk State Spartans #95 rush offense Old Dominion Monarchs #25 run defense
Pass game edge Old Dominion Monarchs 151 ranks
Norfolk State Spartans #164 pass offense Old Dominion Monarchs #13 pass defense
Run game edge Old Dominion Monarchs 63 ranks
Old Dominion Monarchs #73 rush offense Norfolk State Spartans #136 run defense
Pass game edge Old Dominion Monarchs 138 ranks
Old Dominion Monarchs #47 pass offense Norfolk State Spartans #185 pass defense
Norfolk State Spartans Balanced · 48% run Ball-control Old Dominion Monarchs Run-heavy · 61% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 84 rush ypg
Ricky Rahne · 30-33

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Norfolk State Spartans
DB Josiah Davis 6 tkl · 2 INT #61 DB
DB Jordan Saunders 20 tkl · 1 INT #121 DB
LB Brendan Thompson 23 tkl · 2.0 TFL #141 LB
DL Eugene Allen IV 7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #330 DL
Old Dominion Monarchs
DL Javen Gibson 7 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL #66 DL
DB Lucas Struck 11 tkl · 3 PD #92 DB
LB Mario Thompson 19 tkl · 1.0 TFL #79 LB
QB Quinn Henicle 324 pass yds · 3 TD · 1 INT #46 QB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Norfolk State Spartans -9.5 -3.3 -6.2 #291
Old Dominion MonarchsSBC +9.3 +1.2 +8.0 #90

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Norfolk State offense vs Old Dominion defense-11.3 pts
Old Dominion offense vs Norfolk State defense+7.4 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.