Our side
MoneylineSCST to win
ours 87%
Projected score
22–40
NCCU – SCST
2026-11-14 · 1:30 PM
Oliver C. Dawson Stadium · Orangeburg, SC
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
South Carolina State lead
7–4
· 11 meetings since 2011
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge South Carolina State Bulldogs
153 ranks
North Carolina Central Eagles #189 rush offense
South Carolina State Bulldogs #36 run defense
Pass game
even
30 ranks apart
North Carolina Central Eagles #43 pass offense
South Carolina State Bulldogs #73 pass defense
Run game
edge North Carolina Central Eagles
106 ranks
South Carolina State Bulldogs #251 rush offense
North Carolina Central Eagles #145 run defense
Pass game
even
35 ranks apart
South Carolina State Bulldogs #68 pass offense
North Carolina Central Eagles #103 pass defense
North Carolina Central Eagles
Balanced · 53% run
Ball-control
South Carolina State Bulldogs
Balanced · 54% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
North Carolina Central Eagles
DL
Zarion Walters
17 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 6.0 TFL
#12 DL
DB
Joshua Truesdale
19 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
#88 DB
RB
Plez Lawrence
264 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec
#92 RB
DB
Jakarri Martin II
9 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
#231 DB
South Carolina State Bulldogs
RB
Mason Pickett-Hicks
417 rush yds · 3 TD · 6 rec
#11 RB
DL
Jordan Dollard
11 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 5.5 TFL
#50 DL
DL
Ka Von Chisolm
7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 5.5 TFL
#101 DL
DL
Jayden Fuller
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#120 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
North Carolina Central offense vs South Carolina State defense+0.3 pts
South Carolina State offense vs North Carolina Central defense+10.6 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+4.3 pts
Power projection before adjustment+13.6
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).