← Matchups

Virginia State

· 0-1 · power -20.1 · #378

Our numberSCST -22.0 ~~no book has priced this game~~

South Carolina State

· 3-0 · power -1.6 · #192

Final VIRG 0 · SCST 66 ML W our logged sides, graded on the record

Our side

MoneylineSCST to win logged ours 89%

Our number: SCST by 14.1 — SCST to win.

Projected score 20–42 VIRG – SCST

2026-09-12 · 6:00 PM Oliver C. Dawson Stadium · Orangeburg, SC Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

South Carolina State Bulldogs Balanced · 54% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Virginia State Trojans

DL Maurice Calloway 7 tkl · 1.0 TFL #463 DL

DL Juelz Capers 7 tkl #741 DL

DL Jason Parrilla 4 tkl · 1.0 TFL #931 DL

DL Mehkhi Johnson 3 tkl #930 DL

South Carolina State Bulldogs

RB Mason Pickett-Hicks 417 rush yds · 3 TD · 6 rec #11 RB

DL Jordan Dollard 11 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 5.5 TFL #50 DL

DL Ka Von Chisolm 7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 5.5 TFL #101 DL

DL Jayden Fuller 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #120 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Virginia State Trojans	-20.1	-8.6	-11.5	#378
South Carolina State Bulldogs	-1.6	+3.7	-5.3	#192

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Virginia State offense vs South Carolina State defense-3.3 pts

South Carolina State offense vs Virginia State defense+15.2 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.