Our side
MoneylineSCST to win
ours 46%
Projected score
29–27
SCST – FUR
2026-09-19 · 7:00 PM
Paladin Stadium · Greenville, SC
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Furman lead
2–1
· 3 meetings since 2013
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Furman Paladins
86 ranks
South Carolina State Bulldogs #251 rush offense
Furman Paladins #165 run defense
Pass game
edge South Carolina State Bulldogs
88 ranks
South Carolina State Bulldogs #68 pass offense
Furman Paladins #156 pass defense
Run game
edge South Carolina State Bulldogs
178 ranks
Furman Paladins #214 rush offense
South Carolina State Bulldogs #36 run defense
Pass game
edge South Carolina State Bulldogs
92 ranks
Furman Paladins #165 pass offense
South Carolina State Bulldogs #73 pass defense
South Carolina State Bulldogs
Balanced · 54% run
Avg pace
Furman Paladins
Balanced · 47% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
South Carolina State Bulldogs
RB
Mason Pickett-Hicks
417 rush yds · 3 TD · 6 rec
#11 RB
DL
Jordan Dollard
11 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 5.5 TFL
#50 DL
DL
Ka Von Chisolm
7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 5.5 TFL
#101 DL
DL
Jayden Fuller
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#120 DL
Furman Paladins
DB
Eli Lipscomb
12 tkl
#127 DB
DB
Caleb Easterling
8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
#144 DB
WR
Daniel Haughton
12 rec · 116 yds · 1 TD
#140 WR
DL
Joshua Stoneking
10 tkl · 2.0 TFL
#265 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
South Carolina State offense vs Furman defense-1.0 pts
Furman offense vs South Carolina State defense+0.0 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-5.7 pts
Power projection before adjustment+3.7
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).