← Matchups

South Carolina State

· 3-0 · power -1.6 · #192
Our numberSCST -14.2 no book has priced this game

Charleston Southern

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -11.7 · #316
Our side
MoneylineSCST to win ours 19%
Projected score 33–19 SCST – CHSO
2026-10-10 · 6:00 PM Buccaneer Field · Charleston, SC Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Charleston Southern lead 1–0 · 1 meeting since 2025
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Charleston Southern Buccaneers 180 ranks
South Carolina State Bulldogs #251 rush offense Charleston Southern Buccaneers #71 run defense
Pass game edge South Carolina State Bulldogs 136 ranks
South Carolina State Bulldogs #68 pass offense Charleston Southern Buccaneers #204 pass defense
Run game edge South Carolina State Bulldogs 174 ranks
Charleston Southern Buccaneers #210 rush offense South Carolina State Bulldogs #36 run defense
Pass game edge South Carolina State Bulldogs 84 ranks
Charleston Southern Buccaneers #157 pass offense South Carolina State Bulldogs #73 pass defense
South Carolina State Bulldogs Balanced · 54% run Avg pace Charleston Southern Buccaneers Balanced · 57% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
South Carolina State Bulldogs
RB Mason Pickett-Hicks 417 rush yds · 3 TD · 6 rec #11 RB
DL Jordan Dollard 11 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 5.5 TFL #50 DL
DL Ka Von Chisolm 7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 5.5 TFL #101 DL
DL Jayden Fuller 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #120 DL
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
LB Tristan Lennon 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #58 LB
LB Steve Zayachkowsky 22 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #80 LB
DL Josiah Wyatt 17 tkl · 1.5 TFL #212 DL
DL CJ Landrum 13 tkl · 0.5 TFL #521 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
South Carolina State Bulldogs -1.6 +3.7 -5.3 #192
Charleston Southern Buccaneers -11.7 -14.6 +3.0 #316

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
South Carolina State offense vs Charleston Southern defense+0.8 pts
Charleston Southern offense vs South Carolina State defense-9.3 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-6.4 pts
Power projection before adjustment-7.8

The projection carries an efficiency adjustment — a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).