Final
VILL 17 · BUCK 16
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineVILL to win logged
ours 29%
Our number: VILL by 18.1 — VILL to win.
Projected score
30–21
VILL – BUCK
2026-09-05 · 6:00 PM
Christy Mathewson-Memorial Stadium · Lewisburg, PA
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Villanova lead
10–9–2
· 21 meetings since 1900
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Villanova Wildcats
96 ranks
Villanova Wildcats #54 rush offense
Bucknell Bison #150 run defense
Pass game
edge Villanova Wildcats
135 ranks
Villanova Wildcats #82 pass offense
Bucknell Bison #217 pass defense
Run game
edge Villanova Wildcats
129 ranks
Bucknell Bison #168 rush offense
Villanova Wildcats #39 run defense
Pass game
even
31 ranks apart
Bucknell Bison #86 pass offense
Villanova Wildcats #55 pass defense
Villanova Wildcats
Run-heavy · 59% run
Ball-control
Bucknell Bison
Balanced · 57% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Villanova Wildcats
LB
Omari Bursey
34 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 4.5 TFL
#9 LB
DL
Ugo Nwotite
6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#82 DL
DL
Ratu Delano Navoti
5 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#137 DL
DB
Jamie Tyson
17 tkl · 1 INT
#166 DB
Bucknell Bison
WR
Sam Milligan
24 rec · 241 yds · 3 TD
#17 WR
DL
Jack Inserra
15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#194 DL
RB
Michael Cadden
131 rush yds · 1 TD · 12 rec
#86 RB
LB
Nick Hoying
13 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#298 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Villanova offense vs Bucknell defense+1.4 pts
Bucknell offense vs Villanova defense-10.8 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.