← Matchups

Bucknell

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -15.8 · #352
Our numberBUCK -3.7 no book has priced this game

VMI

· 0-3 · power -22.1 · #384
Final BUCK 14 · VMI 3 ML L our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineVMI to win logged live now: BUCK to win — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 42%

Our number: VMI by 0.4 — VMI to win.

Projected score 26–22 BUCK – VMI
2026-09-12 · 1:30 PM Foster Stadium · Lexington, VA Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Bucknell lead 6–3 · 9 meetings since 1978
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 4 ranks apart
Bucknell Bison #168 rush offense VMI Keydets #164 run defense
Pass game edge Bucknell Bison 171 ranks
Bucknell Bison #86 pass offense VMI Keydets #257 pass defense
Run game edge Bucknell Bison 106 ranks
VMI Keydets #256 rush offense Bucknell Bison #150 run defense
Pass game even 29 ranks apart
VMI Keydets #188 pass offense Bucknell Bison #217 pass defense
Bucknell Bison Balanced · 57% run Ball-control VMI Keydets Balanced · 50% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Bucknell Bison
WR Sam Milligan 24 rec · 241 yds · 3 TD #17 WR
DL Jack Inserra 15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #194 DL
RB Michael Cadden 131 rush yds · 1 TD · 12 rec #86 RB
LB Nick Hoying 13 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL #298 LB
VMI Keydets
DB Nic Land 22 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #74 DB
DB Robert Powell 13 tkl · 2 PD #345 DB
DB EJ Wilborne 12 tkl · 1 INT #522 DB
DB Anthony Allen 10 tkl #876 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Bucknell Bison -15.8 -11.4 -4.3 #352
VMI Keydets -22.1 -14.8 -7.3 #384

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Bucknell offense vs VMI defense-4.1 pts
VMI offense vs Bucknell defense-10.4 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.