← Matchups

Lafayette

· 1-1 · power -12.9 · #327
Our numberLAF -0.1 no book has priced this game

Bucknell

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -15.8 · #352
Our side
MoneylineLAF to win ours 50%
Projected score 27–27 LAF – BUCK
2026-10-17 · 3:00 PM Christy Mathewson-Memorial Stadium · Lewisburg, PA Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Lafayette lead 27–12–3 · 42 meetings since 1888
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Lafayette Leopards 56 ranks
Lafayette Leopards #94 rush offense Bucknell Bison #150 run defense
Pass game edge Lafayette Leopards 84 ranks
Lafayette Leopards #133 pass offense Bucknell Bison #217 pass defense
Run game even 8 ranks apart
Bucknell Bison #168 rush offense Lafayette Leopards #176 run defense
Pass game even 31 ranks apart
Bucknell Bison #86 pass offense Lafayette Leopards #117 pass defense
Lafayette Leopards Balanced · 56% run Avg pace Bucknell Bison Balanced · 57% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Lafayette Leopards
LB Beckham Dee 16 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #75 LB
DB Dhonte Jackson 19 tkl · 1 PD #139 DB
LB Callahan Blair 9 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL #283 LB
DB Darrick LeBeouf 10 tkl · 1 INT #516 DB
Bucknell Bison
WR Sam Milligan 24 rec · 241 yds · 3 TD #17 WR
DL Jack Inserra 15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #194 DL
RB Michael Cadden 131 rush yds · 1 TD · 12 rec #86 RB
LB Nick Hoying 13 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL #298 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Lafayette Leopards -12.9 -5.0 -7.9 #327
Bucknell Bison -15.8 -11.4 -4.3 #352

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Lafayette offense vs Bucknell defense-0.6 pts
Bucknell offense vs Lafayette defense-3.5 pts
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.