Our side
MoneylineW&M to win
ours 78%
Projected score
21–33
BUCK – W&M
2026-11-14 · 1:00 PM
Walter J. Zable Stadium · Williamsburg, VA
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
William & Mary lead
2–0
· 2 meetings since 2017
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Bucknell Bison
70 ranks
Bucknell Bison #168 rush offense
William & Mary Tribe #238 run defense
Pass game
edge Bucknell Bison
127 ranks
Bucknell Bison #86 pass offense
William & Mary Tribe #213 pass defense
Run game
edge William & Mary Tribe
46 ranks
William & Mary Tribe #104 rush offense
Bucknell Bison #150 run defense
Pass game
edge William & Mary Tribe
115 ranks
William & Mary Tribe #102 pass offense
Bucknell Bison #217 pass defense
Bucknell Bison
Balanced · 57% run
Ball-control
William & Mary Tribe
Balanced · 56% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 56 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Bucknell Bison
WR
Sam Milligan
24 rec · 241 yds · 3 TD
#17 WR
DL
Jack Inserra
15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#194 DL
RB
Michael Cadden
131 rush yds · 1 TD · 12 rec
#86 RB
LB
Nick Hoying
13 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#298 LB
William & Mary Tribe
DL
Nathaniel McDonald
8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#37 DL
K
Max Lipinski
8 FG · 5 XP · 29 pts
#13 K
DB
Trevon Cannon
17 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#130 DB
DB
David Roulley
14 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#157 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Bucknell offense vs William & Mary defense-7.1 pts
William & Mary offense vs Bucknell defense+3.7 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-1.6 pts
Power projection before adjustment+13.9
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).