Our side
MoneylineCOLG to win
ours 27%
Projected score
30–20
COLG – BUCK
2026-11-21 · 1:00 PM
Christy Mathewson-Memorial Stadium · Lewisburg, PA
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Colgate lead
42–13
· 55 meetings since 1917
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Colgate Raiders
61 ranks
Colgate Raiders #89 rush offense
Bucknell Bison #150 run defense
Pass game
edge Colgate Raiders
105 ranks
Colgate Raiders #112 pass offense
Bucknell Bison #217 pass defense
Run game
even
32 ranks apart
Bucknell Bison #168 rush offense
Colgate Raiders #200 run defense
Pass game
edge Bucknell Bison
132 ranks
Bucknell Bison #86 pass offense
Colgate Raiders #218 pass defense
Colgate Raiders
Balanced · 45% run
Avg pace
Bucknell Bison
Balanced · 57% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Colgate Raiders
LB
Christian Magliacano
20 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#20 LB
RB
Danny Shaban
395 rush yds · 3 TD · 7 rec
#15 RB
WR
Matt Fogler
13 rec · 231 yds · 3 TD
#52 WR
DB
Tymir Wynn
14 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
#160 DB
Bucknell Bison
WR
Sam Milligan
24 rec · 241 yds · 3 TD
#17 WR
DL
Jack Inserra
15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#194 DL
RB
Michael Cadden
131 rush yds · 1 TD · 12 rec
#86 RB
LB
Nick Hoying
13 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#298 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Colgate offense vs Bucknell defense+0.0 pts
Bucknell offense vs Colgate defense-10.2 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-2.0 pts
Power projection before adjustment-7.8
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).