← Matchups

Holy Cross

· 0-3 (0-2) · power -16.9 · #358
Our numberCOLG -14.6 no book has priced this game

Colgate

· 2-1 (2-0) · power -5.5 · #249
Final HC 10 · COLG 35 our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineCOLG to win ours 79%
Projected score 18–33 HC – COLG
2026-09-05 · 1:00 PM Andy Kerr Stadium · Hamilton, NY Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Colgate lead 31–30–5 · 66 meetings since 1917
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 31 ranks apart
Holy Cross Crusaders #231 rush offense Colgate Raiders #200 run defense
Pass game even 25 ranks apart
Holy Cross Crusaders #243 pass offense Colgate Raiders #218 pass defense
Run game even 38 ranks apart
Colgate Raiders #89 rush offense Holy Cross Crusaders #127 run defense
Pass game edge Holy Cross Crusaders 67 ranks
Colgate Raiders #112 pass offense Holy Cross Crusaders #45 pass defense
Holy Cross Crusaders Run-heavy · 65% run Ball-control Colgate Raiders Balanced · 45% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Holy Cross Crusaders
LB Adam Due 27 tkl · 1.5 TFL #100 LB
DB Garrett Baldwin 12 tkl · 3 PD #180 DB
TE Drae Tyme 4 rec · 81 yds · 1 TD #48 TE
WR Myles Abernathy 10 rec · 138 yds #238 WR
Colgate Raiders
LB Christian Magliacano 20 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL #20 LB
RB Danny Shaban 395 rush yds · 3 TD · 7 rec #15 RB
WR Matt Fogler 13 rec · 231 yds · 3 TD #52 WR
DB Tymir Wynn 14 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT #160 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Holy Cross Crusaders -16.9 -12.0 -4.9 #358
Colgate Raiders -5.5 -4.3 -1.2 #249

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Holy Cross offense vs Colgate defense-10.8 pts
Colgate offense vs Holy Cross defense+0.6 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.