← Matchups

Lafayette

· 1-1 · power -12.9 · #327
Our numberCOLG -10.4 no book has priced this game

Colgate

· 2-1 (2-0) · power -5.5 · #249
Our side
MoneylineCOLG to win ours 74%
Projected score 23–33 LAF – COLG
2026-11-14 · 1:00 PM Andy Kerr Stadium · Hamilton, NY Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Colgate lead 35–11–3 · 49 meetings since 1906
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Lafayette Leopards 106 ranks
Lafayette Leopards #94 rush offense Colgate Raiders #200 run defense
Pass game edge Lafayette Leopards 85 ranks
Lafayette Leopards #133 pass offense Colgate Raiders #218 pass defense
Run game edge Colgate Raiders 87 ranks
Colgate Raiders #89 rush offense Lafayette Leopards #176 run defense
Pass game even 5 ranks apart
Colgate Raiders #112 pass offense Lafayette Leopards #117 pass defense
Lafayette Leopards Balanced · 56% run Avg pace Colgate Raiders Balanced · 45% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Lafayette Leopards
LB Beckham Dee 16 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #75 LB
DB Dhonte Jackson 19 tkl · 1 PD #139 DB
LB Callahan Blair 9 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL #283 LB
DB Darrick LeBeouf 10 tkl · 1 INT #516 DB
Colgate Raiders
LB Christian Magliacano 20 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL #20 LB
RB Danny Shaban 395 rush yds · 3 TD · 7 rec #15 RB
WR Matt Fogler 13 rec · 231 yds · 3 TD #52 WR
DB Tymir Wynn 14 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT #160 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Lafayette Leopards -12.9 -5.0 -7.9 #327
Colgate Raiders -5.5 -4.3 -1.2 #249

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Lafayette offense vs Colgate defense-3.8 pts
Colgate offense vs Lafayette defense+3.6 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.