Our side
MoneylineRICH to win
ours 26%
Projected score
31–20
RICH – FOR
2026-10-10 · 3:30 PM
Moglia Stadium at Jack Coffey Field · Bronx, NY
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Richmond lead
2–1
· 3 meetings since 2018
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Fordham Rams
148 ranks
Richmond Spiders #183 rush offense
Fordham Rams #35 run defense
Pass game
edge Richmond Spiders
56 ranks
Richmond Spiders #141 pass offense
Fordham Rams #197 pass defense
Run game
even
2 ranks apart
Fordham Rams #186 rush offense
Richmond Spiders #188 run defense
Pass game
edge Richmond Spiders
236 ranks
Fordham Rams #252 pass offense
Richmond Spiders #16 pass defense
Richmond Spiders
Run-heavy · 62% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 44 rush ypg
Fordham Rams
Balanced · 45% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Richmond Spiders
DL
Camden Byrd
7 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#32 DL
LB
Blake Houser
26 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#44 LB
DL
Daniel Sellers
7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#88 DL
RB
Aziz Foster-Powell
141 rush yds · 3 TD · 4 rec
#68 RB
Fordham Rams
LB
Andrew Osmun
29 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#5 LB
DB
Justin Johnson
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#34 DB
DL
Lorenzo Riddick
9 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#125 DL
DL
Jakub Mwangelwa
7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#141 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Richmond offense vs Fordham defense+1.3 pts
Fordham offense vs Richmond defense-11.3 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-0.4 pts
Power projection before adjustment-10.2
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).