Our side
MoneylineHC to win
ours 57%
Projected score
22–25
FOR – HC
2026-11-21 · 12:00 PM
Fitton Field · Worcester, MA
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Holy Cross lead
23–14–1
· 38 meetings since 1902
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Holy Cross Crusaders
59 ranks
Fordham Rams #186 rush offense
Holy Cross Crusaders #127 run defense
Pass game
edge Holy Cross Crusaders
207 ranks
Fordham Rams #252 pass offense
Holy Cross Crusaders #45 pass defense
Run game
edge Fordham Rams
196 ranks
Holy Cross Crusaders #231 rush offense
Fordham Rams #35 run defense
Pass game
edge Fordham Rams
46 ranks
Holy Cross Crusaders #243 pass offense
Fordham Rams #197 pass defense
Fordham Rams
Balanced · 45% run
Avg pace
Holy Cross Crusaders
Run-heavy · 65% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Fordham Rams
LB
Andrew Osmun
29 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#5 LB
DB
Justin Johnson
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#34 DB
DL
Lorenzo Riddick
9 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#125 DL
DL
Jakub Mwangelwa
7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#141 DL
Holy Cross Crusaders
LB
Adam Due
27 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#100 LB
DB
Garrett Baldwin
12 tkl · 3 PD
#180 DB
TE
Drae Tyme
4 rec · 81 yds · 1 TD
#48 TE
WR
Myles Abernathy
10 rec · 138 yds
#238 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Fordham offense vs Holy Cross defense-9.1 pts
Holy Cross offense vs Fordham defense-7.7 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-1.5 pts
Power projection before adjustment+4.3
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).