Final
LEH 35 · HC 10
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineLEH to win logged
ours 8%
Our number: LEH by 6.3 — LEH to win.
Projected score
38–14
LEH – HC
2026-08-29 · 3:30 PM
Fitton Field · Worcester, MA
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Lehigh lead
12–11
· 23 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Lehigh Mountain Hawks
75 ranks
Lehigh Mountain Hawks #52 rush offense
Holy Cross Crusaders #127 run defense
Pass game
even
30 ranks apart
Lehigh Mountain Hawks #15 pass offense
Holy Cross Crusaders #45 pass defense
Run game
edge Lehigh Mountain Hawks
215 ranks
Holy Cross Crusaders #231 rush offense
Lehigh Mountain Hawks #16 run defense
Pass game
edge Lehigh Mountain Hawks
209 ranks
Holy Cross Crusaders #243 pass offense
Lehigh Mountain Hawks #34 pass defense
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
Run-heavy · 67% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 35 rush ypg
Holy Cross Crusaders
Run-heavy · 65% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
RB
Luke Yoder
419 rush yds · 9 TD · 3 rec
#2 RB
DB
Luke Denny
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#269 DB
WR
Nick Palumbo
8 rec · 130 yds · 2 TD
#245 WR
DB
DJ Brown
7 tkl · 5 PD
#397 DB
Holy Cross Crusaders
LB
Adam Due
27 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#100 LB
DB
Garrett Baldwin
12 tkl · 3 PD
#180 DB
TE
Drae Tyme
4 rec · 81 yds · 1 TD
#48 TE
WR
Myles Abernathy
10 rec · 138 yds
#238 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Lehigh offense vs Holy Cross defense+9.1 pts
Holy Cross offense vs Lehigh defense-17.6 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.