Final
MRST 9 · LAF 13
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineLAF to win logged
ours 57%
Our number: LAF by 7.2 — LAF to win.
Projected score
23–27
MRST – LAF
2026-09-12 · 12:30 PM
Fisher Stadium · Easton, PA
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Lafayette lead
6–0
· 6 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Marist Red Foxes
48 ranks
Marist Red Foxes #128 rush offense
Lafayette Leopards #176 run defense
Pass game
even
34 ranks apart
Marist Red Foxes #151 pass offense
Lafayette Leopards #117 pass defense
Run game
edge Marist Red Foxes
79 ranks
Lafayette Leopards #94 rush offense
Marist Red Foxes #15 run defense
Pass game
even
5 ranks apart
Lafayette Leopards #133 pass offense
Marist Red Foxes #138 pass defense
Marist Red Foxes
Balanced · 50% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 40 rush ypg
Lafayette Leopards
Balanced · 56% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Marist Red Foxes
DB
Tyrell Powell
13 tkl · 6 PD
#98 DB
DL
Jordan Caldwell
1 tkl
#115 DL
DB
Chase Hatton
15 tkl · 4 PD
#106 DB
LB
Kade Werner
23 tkl · 2.5 TFL
#207 LB
Lafayette Leopards
LB
Beckham Dee
16 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#75 LB
DB
Dhonte Jackson
19 tkl · 1 PD
#139 DB
LB
Callahan Blair
9 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#283 LB
DB
Darrick LeBeouf
10 tkl · 1 INT
#516 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Marist offense vs Lafayette defense-6.4 pts
Lafayette offense vs Marist defense-5.8 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.