← Matchups

Richmond

· 2-1 (1-0) · power -5.8 · #253
Our numberRICH -4.5 no book has priced this game

Lafayette

· 1-1 · power -12.9 · #327
Our side
MoneylineRICH to win ours 39%
Projected score 31–26 RICH – LAF
2026-10-03 · 12:30 PM Fisher Stadium · Easton, PA Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Lafayette lead 4–0 · 4 meetings since 1922
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 7 ranks apart
Richmond Spiders #183 rush offense Lafayette Leopards #176 run defense
Pass game even 24 ranks apart
Richmond Spiders #141 pass offense Lafayette Leopards #117 pass defense
Run game edge Lafayette Leopards 94 ranks
Lafayette Leopards #94 rush offense Richmond Spiders #188 run defense
Pass game edge Richmond Spiders 117 ranks
Lafayette Leopards #133 pass offense Richmond Spiders #16 pass defense
Richmond Spiders Run-heavy · 62% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 44 rush ypg Lafayette Leopards Balanced · 56% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Richmond Spiders
DL Camden Byrd 7 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL #32 DL
LB Blake Houser 26 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #44 LB
DL Daniel Sellers 7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #88 DL
RB Aziz Foster-Powell 141 rush yds · 3 TD · 4 rec #68 RB
Lafayette Leopards
LB Beckham Dee 16 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #75 LB
DB Dhonte Jackson 19 tkl · 1 PD #139 DB
LB Callahan Blair 9 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL #283 LB
DB Darrick LeBeouf 10 tkl · 1 INT #516 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Richmond Spiders -5.8 -3.0 -2.8 #253
Lafayette Leopards -12.9 -5.0 -7.9 #327

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Richmond offense vs Lafayette defense+4.9 pts
Lafayette offense vs Richmond defense-2.2 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.