← Matchups

Villanova

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -3.6 · #224
Our numberVILL -6.8 no book has priced this game

Lafayette

· 1-1 · power -12.9 · #327
Our side
MoneylineVILL to win ours 34%
Projected score 32–25 VILL – LAF
2026-10-31 · 12:30 PM Fisher Stadium · Easton, PA Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Lafayette lead 4–2 · 6 meetings since 1898
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Villanova Wildcats 122 ranks
Villanova Wildcats #54 rush offense Lafayette Leopards #176 run defense
Pass game even 35 ranks apart
Villanova Wildcats #82 pass offense Lafayette Leopards #117 pass defense
Run game edge Villanova Wildcats 55 ranks
Lafayette Leopards #94 rush offense Villanova Wildcats #39 run defense
Pass game edge Villanova Wildcats 78 ranks
Lafayette Leopards #133 pass offense Villanova Wildcats #55 pass defense
Villanova Wildcats Run-heavy · 59% run Ball-control Lafayette Leopards Balanced · 56% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Villanova Wildcats
LB Omari Bursey 34 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 4.5 TFL #9 LB
DL Ugo Nwotite 6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #82 DL
DL Ratu Delano Navoti 5 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #137 DL
DB Jamie Tyson 17 tkl · 1 INT #166 DB
Lafayette Leopards
LB Beckham Dee 16 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #75 LB
DB Dhonte Jackson 19 tkl · 1 PD #139 DB
LB Callahan Blair 9 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL #283 LB
DB Darrick LeBeouf 10 tkl · 1 INT #516 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Villanova Wildcats -3.6 -2.9 -0.6 #224
Lafayette Leopards -12.9 -5.0 -7.9 #327

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Villanova offense vs Lafayette defense+5.0 pts
Lafayette offense vs Villanova defense-4.3 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.