Our side
MoneylineFUR to win
ours 42%
Projected score
27–23
FUR – RICH
2026-09-26 · 2:00 PM
Robins Stadium · Richmond, VA
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Richmond lead
15–8
· 23 meetings since 1922
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
26 ranks apart
Furman Paladins #214 rush offense
Richmond Spiders #188 run defense
Pass game
edge Richmond Spiders
149 ranks
Furman Paladins #165 pass offense
Richmond Spiders #16 pass defense
Run game
even
18 ranks apart
Richmond Spiders #183 rush offense
Furman Paladins #165 run defense
Pass game
even
15 ranks apart
Richmond Spiders #141 pass offense
Furman Paladins #156 pass defense
Furman Paladins
Balanced · 47% run
Ball-control
Richmond Spiders
Run-heavy · 62% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 44 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Furman Paladins
DB
Eli Lipscomb
12 tkl
#127 DB
DB
Caleb Easterling
8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
#144 DB
WR
Daniel Haughton
12 rec · 116 yds · 1 TD
#140 WR
DL
Joshua Stoneking
10 tkl · 2.0 TFL
#265 DL
Richmond Spiders
DL
Camden Byrd
7 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#32 DL
LB
Blake Houser
26 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#44 LB
DL
Daniel Sellers
7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#88 DL
RB
Aziz Foster-Powell
141 rush yds · 3 TD · 4 rec
#68 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Furman offense vs Richmond defense-2.6 pts
Richmond offense vs Furman defense-7.7 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-1.3 pts
Power projection before adjustment-2.6
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).