Final
W&M 35 · VILL 32
ML L
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineVILL to win logged
ours 59%
Our number: VILL by 11.5 — VILL to win.
Projected score
26–31
W&M – VILL
2026-08-28 · 6:00 PM
Villanova Stadium · Philadelphia, PA
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
William & Mary lead
12–11
· 23 meetings since 1966
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Villanova Wildcats
65 ranks
William & Mary Tribe #104 rush offense
Villanova Wildcats #39 run defense
Pass game
edge Villanova Wildcats
47 ranks
William & Mary Tribe #102 pass offense
Villanova Wildcats #55 pass defense
Run game
edge Villanova Wildcats
184 ranks
Villanova Wildcats #54 rush offense
William & Mary Tribe #238 run defense
Pass game
edge Villanova Wildcats
131 ranks
Villanova Wildcats #82 pass offense
William & Mary Tribe #213 pass defense
William & Mary Tribe
Balanced · 56% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 56 rush ypg
Villanova Wildcats
Run-heavy · 59% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
William & Mary Tribe
DL
Nathaniel McDonald
8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#37 DL
K
Max Lipinski
8 FG · 5 XP · 29 pts
#13 K
DB
Trevon Cannon
17 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#130 DB
DB
David Roulley
14 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#157 DB
Villanova Wildcats
LB
Omari Bursey
34 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 4.5 TFL
#9 LB
DL
Ugo Nwotite
6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#82 DL
DL
Ratu Delano Navoti
5 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#137 DL
DB
Jamie Tyson
17 tkl · 1 INT
#166 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
William & Mary offense vs Villanova defense+0.0 pts
Villanova offense vs William & Mary defense+1.4 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.