Final
ACU 14 · LAM 21
ML L
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineACU to win logged
live now: LAM to win — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 51%
Our number: ACU by 1.1 — ACU to win.
Projected score
22–23
ACU – LAM
2026-08-29 · 7:00 PM
Provost Umphrey Stadium · Beaumont, TX
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Abilene Christian and Lamar split 8 (4–4)
· 8 meetings since 2014
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Lamar Cardinals
61 ranks
Abilene Christian Wildcats #98 rush offense
Lamar Cardinals #37 run defense
Pass game
edge Lamar Cardinals
120 ranks
Abilene Christian Wildcats #153 pass offense
Lamar Cardinals #33 pass defense
Run game
edge Abilene Christian Wildcats
97 ranks
Lamar Cardinals #228 rush offense
Abilene Christian Wildcats #131 run defense
Pass game
edge Abilene Christian Wildcats
96 ranks
Lamar Cardinals #225 pass offense
Abilene Christian Wildcats #129 pass defense
Abilene Christian Wildcats
Balanced · 53% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 31 rush ypg
Lamar Cardinals
Run-heavy · 61% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Abilene Christian Wildcats
DB
Dillon Williams
29 tkl · 1 PD
#9 DB
DB
Javeon Wilcox
27 tkl · 1 INT
#37 DB
DL
Hudson Page
15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#76 DL
WR
Cristian Driver
18 rec · 224 yds · 1 TD
#46 WR
Lamar Cardinals
DB
Mar Mar Evans
16 tkl · 4 PD
#54 DB
TE
Davin Driskell
10 rec · 99 yds · 3 TD
#12 TE
DB
Lanar Kelley
11 tkl · 1 INT
#86 DB
DB
Bryce McDonald
17 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#146 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Abilene Christian offense vs Lamar defense-9.2 pts
Lamar offense vs Abilene Christian defense-11.5 pts
Altitude · context only517 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.