← Matchups

West Florida

· 2-0 · power +4.1 · #130
Our numberWEST -1.3 no book has priced this game

Abilene Christian

· 0-3 · power +0.2 · #172
Our side
MoneylineWEST to win ours 47%
Projected score 27–26 WEST – ACU
2026-10-03 · 8:00 PM Wildcat Stadium (TX) · Abilene, TX Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Abilene Christian Wildcats Balanced · 53% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 31 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
West Florida Argonauts
DL A'Khoury Lyde 1 tkl #47 DL
DL Cameron Anderson 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #155 DL
DL Carson Ratliff 11 tkl #322 DL
DL Roderick Webb 1 tkl #392 DL
Abilene Christian Wildcats
DB Dillon Williams 29 tkl · 1 PD #9 DB
DB Javeon Wilcox 27 tkl · 1 INT #37 DB
DL Hudson Page 15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #76 DL
WR Cristian Driver 18 rec · 224 yds · 1 TD #46 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
West Florida Argonauts +4.1 +2.6 +1.5 #130
Abilene Christian Wildcats +0.2 -3.2 +3.4 #172

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
West Florida offense vs Abilene Christian defense-0.7 pts
Abilene Christian offense vs West Florida defense-4.7 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 747 mi
Altitude · context only501 m higher than the visitor's home elevation

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.