Our side
MoneylineACU to win
ours 86%
Projected score
16–33
WGA – ACU
2026-10-31 · 4:00 PM
Wildcat Stadium (TX) · Abilene, TX
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Abilene Christian lead
2–0
· 2 meetings since 2024
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge West Georgia Wolves
46 ranks
West Georgia Wolves #85 rush offense
Abilene Christian Wildcats #131 run defense
Pass game
edge Abilene Christian Wildcats
78 ranks
West Georgia Wolves #207 pass offense
Abilene Christian Wildcats #129 pass defense
Run game
edge West Georgia Wolves
95 ranks
Abilene Christian Wildcats #98 rush offense
West Georgia Wolves #3 run defense
Pass game
edge West Georgia Wolves
46 ranks
Abilene Christian Wildcats #153 pass offense
West Georgia Wolves #107 pass defense
West Georgia Wolves
Balanced · 58% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 44 rush ypg
Abilene Christian Wildcats
Balanced · 53% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 31 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
West Georgia Wolves
LB
Chidu Bekee
19 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#164 LB
DL
Dalton Epps
12 tkl · 3.0 TFL
#291 DL
LB
Andrew Ruffin
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#174 LB
WR
T.J. Lockley
12 rec · 120 yds · 1 TD
#252 WR
Abilene Christian Wildcats
DB
Dillon Williams
29 tkl · 1 PD
#9 DB
DB
Javeon Wilcox
27 tkl · 1 INT
#37 DB
DL
Hudson Page
15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#76 DL
WR
Cristian Driver
18 rec · 224 yds · 1 TD
#46 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
West Georgia offense vs Abilene Christian defense-14.1 pts
Abilene Christian offense vs West Georgia defense+0.5 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-0.4 pts
Power projection before adjustment+17.9
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 848 mi
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.