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Gardner-Webb

· 0-3 · power -4.1 · #231
Our numberAPSU -12.8 no book has priced this game

Austin Peay

· 2-1 · power +5.6 · #117
Final GWEB 17 · APSU 35 ML W our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineAPSU to win logged ours 76%

Our number: APSU by 11.0 — APSU to win.

Projected score 22–34 GWEB – APSU
2026-08-27 · 7:00 PM Fortera Stadium · Clarksville, TN Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Gardner-Webb lead 2–1 · 3 meetings since 2007
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 34 ranks apart
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs #135 rush offense Austin Peay Governors #101 run defense
Pass game even 32 ranks apart
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs #95 pass offense Austin Peay Governors #63 pass defense
Run game edge Austin Peay Governors 169 ranks
Austin Peay Governors #22 rush offense Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs #191 run defense
Pass game edge Austin Peay Governors 139 ranks
Austin Peay Governors #28 pass offense Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs #167 pass defense
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs Balanced · 58% run Avg pace Austin Peay Governors Balanced · 54% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 62 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
LB Tre Yanez 31 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 5.0 TFL #11 LB
DB Jamarion Ravenell 14 tkl · 2 PD #30 DB
WR Kory Jones 18 rec · 288 yds #58 WR
DB Sabin McLaughlin 13 tkl · 1 PD #133 DB
Austin Peay Governors
DL Demoris Jenkins 8 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL #55 DL
WR Denver Harper 7 rec · 256 yds · 4 TD #45 WR
DB Trevor Hardy 21 tkl · 1 PD #100 DB
DL Malik Denkins 7 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL #210 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs -4.1 -2.2 -1.9 #231
Austin Peay Governors +5.6 +2.8 +2.7 #117

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Gardner-Webb offense vs Austin Peay defense-4.9 pts
Austin Peay offense vs Gardner-Webb defense+4.7 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.