Final
MORE 7 · APSU 63
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineAPSU to win logged
ours 91%
Our number: APSU by 22.9 — APSU to win.
Projected score
18–43
MORE – APSU
2026-09-12 · 5:00 PM
Fortera Stadium · Clarksville, TN
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Austin Peay lead
5–1
· 6 meetings since 2005
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Austin Peay Governors
149 ranks
Morehead State Eagles #250 rush offense
Austin Peay Governors #101 run defense
Pass game
even
31 ranks apart
Morehead State Eagles #94 pass offense
Austin Peay Governors #63 pass defense
Run game
edge Austin Peay Governors
241 ranks
Austin Peay Governors #22 rush offense
Morehead State Eagles #263 run defense
Pass game
edge Austin Peay Governors
150 ranks
Austin Peay Governors #28 pass offense
Morehead State Eagles #178 pass defense
Morehead State Eagles
Balanced · 55% run
Ball-control
Austin Peay Governors
Balanced · 54% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 62 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Morehead State Eagles
DB
Tazion McQueen
10 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
#96 DB
DB
Sidney Webb
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#125 DB
DB
Isaiah Watts
3 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#148 DB
WR
Cross Watson
4 rec · 132 yds · 3 TD
#207 WR
Austin Peay Governors
DL
Demoris Jenkins
8 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#55 DL
WR
Denver Harper
7 rec · 256 yds · 4 TD
#45 WR
DB
Trevor Hardy
21 tkl · 1 PD
#100 DB
DL
Malik Denkins
7 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#210 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Morehead State offense vs Austin Peay defense-5.5 pts
Austin Peay offense vs Morehead State defense+15.2 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.