Our side
MoneylineAPSU to win
ours 9%
Projected score
37–16
APSU – WGA
2026-10-17 · 2:00 PM
University Stadium (GA) · Carrollton, GA
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Austin Peay lead
2–0
· 2 meetings since 2024
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
19 ranks apart
Austin Peay Governors #22 rush offense
West Georgia Wolves #3 run defense
Pass game
edge Austin Peay Governors
79 ranks
Austin Peay Governors #28 pass offense
West Georgia Wolves #107 pass defense
Run game
even
16 ranks apart
West Georgia Wolves #85 rush offense
Austin Peay Governors #101 run defense
Pass game
edge Austin Peay Governors
144 ranks
West Georgia Wolves #207 pass offense
Austin Peay Governors #63 pass defense
Austin Peay Governors
Balanced · 54% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 62 rush ypg
West Georgia Wolves
Balanced · 58% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 44 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Austin Peay Governors
DL
Demoris Jenkins
8 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#55 DL
WR
Denver Harper
7 rec · 256 yds · 4 TD
#45 WR
DB
Trevor Hardy
21 tkl · 1 PD
#100 DB
DL
Malik Denkins
7 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#210 DL
West Georgia Wolves
DL
Dalton Epps
12 tkl · 3.0 TFL
#291 DL
LB
Chidu Bekee
19 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#164 LB
LB
Andrew Ruffin
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#174 LB
WR
T.J. Lockley
12 rec · 120 yds · 1 TD
#252 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Austin Peay offense vs West Georgia defense+6.6 pts
West Georgia offense vs Austin Peay defense-13.4 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-3.4 pts
Power projection before adjustment-17.9
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).