Our side
MoneylineEWU to win
ours 59%
Projected score
27–31
CP – EWU
2026-09-26 · 7:00 PM
Roos Field · Cheney, WA
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Eastern Washington lead
10–2
· 12 meetings since 2004
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
41 ranks apart
Cal Poly Mustangs #185 rush offense
Eastern Washington Eagles #144 run defense
Pass game
even
11 ranks apart
Cal Poly Mustangs #114 pass offense
Eastern Washington Eagles #125 pass defense
Run game
even
17 ranks apart
Eastern Washington Eagles #184 rush offense
Cal Poly Mustangs #201 run defense
Pass game
edge Cal Poly Mustangs
102 ranks
Eastern Washington Eagles #238 pass offense
Cal Poly Mustangs #136 pass defense
Cal Poly Mustangs
Balanced · 51% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 36 rush ypg
Eastern Washington Eagles
Balanced · 48% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 74 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Cal Poly Mustangs
LB
Mikey D'Amato
36 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#27 LB
WR
Tayvion McCoy
20 rec · 249 yds · 1 TD
#56 WR
P
Dean Scrivner
9 punts · 45.4 yd avg
#11 P
WR
Fidel Pitts
14 rec · 212 yds · 2 TD
#77 WR
Eastern Washington Eagles
DB
Bryce Smith
30 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
#5 DB
DL
Ben Voigtlaender
14 tkl · 2.5 TFL
#40 DL
LB
Myles Mayovsky
33 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#33 LB
WR
Wesley Garrett
18 rec · 235 yds · 2 TD
#42 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Cal Poly offense vs Eastern Washington defense+0.9 pts
Eastern Washington offense vs Cal Poly defense+2.8 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-0.6 pts
Power projection before adjustment+4.8
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 857 mi
Altitude · context only667 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.