Final
EWU 27 · NAU 34
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineNAU to win logged
ours 63%
Our number: NAU by 7.1 — NAU to win.
Projected score
26–33
EWU – NAU
2026-08-29 · 5:00 PM
J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome · Flagstaff, AZ
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Eastern Washington lead
11–5
· 16 meetings since 2004
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Eastern Washington Eagles
68 ranks
Eastern Washington Eagles #184 rush offense
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks #252 run defense
Pass game
edge Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
57 ranks
Eastern Washington Eagles #238 pass offense
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks #181 pass defense
Run game
even
15 ranks apart
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks #129 rush offense
Eastern Washington Eagles #144 run defense
Pass game
edge Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
49 ranks
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks #76 pass offense
Eastern Washington Eagles #125 pass defense
Eastern Washington Eagles
Balanced · 48% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 74 rush ypg
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
Balanced · 53% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Eastern Washington Eagles
DB
Bryce Smith
30 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
#5 DB
DL
Ben Voigtlaender
14 tkl · 2.5 TFL
#40 DL
LB
Myles Mayovsky
33 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#33 LB
WR
Wesley Garrett
18 rec · 235 yds · 2 TD
#42 WR
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
DB
Deliyon Freeman
23 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#33 DB
DB
Jahaad Fort
16 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
#43 DB
DB
Shoes Brinkley
27 tkl · 1 PD
#60 DB
LB
Jaiden Letua
25 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#43 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Eastern Washington offense vs Northern Arizona defense+1.3 pts
Northern Arizona offense vs Eastern Washington defense+4.4 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 904 mi
Altitude · context only1,354 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.